In a surprising turn of events, the latest election model from NMS Market Research shows a significant shift in the Czech political landscape. The ANO movement maintains its dominant position, but a newcomer has shaken up the ranks of the opposition.
According to the poll, ANO would win the election with a commanding 35.3% of the vote, strengthening its lead by 2.4 percentage points since October. However, the real story lies in the battle for second place.
For the first time, the STAN movement has overtaken the Civic Democratic Party (ODS), securing 11.1% support compared to ODS’s 10%. This shift marks a significant moment in Czech politics, potentially reshaping the opposition dynamics.
The Freedom and Direct Democracy (SPD) movement holds steady at 7%, while the Communist Party (KSČM) and the Pirate Party hover just above the 5% threshold needed to enter Parliament, with 5.8% and 5.7% respectively.
The situation remains precarious for several opposition parties. Four of them are teetering on the 5% threshold, making the coming months crucial for their political futures. NMS Market Research analyst Tereza Friedrichová suggests that these parties may need to consider forming broader electoral coalitions to secure their positions.
The survey, conducted from November 5-12 with 1,306 respondents, also indicates a projected voter turnout of 56.7%. As the political landscape continues to evolve, all eyes will be on how parties adapt their strategies and messaging to win over the Czech electorate.