According to the Median polling company, the ANO movement led by Prime Minister Andrej Babiš would win with 34.5% of the vote. The Civic Democratic Party (ODS) would come second with 15.5%. The Freedom and Direct Democracy (SPD) party would come in third with 10% of the vote, followed by the Pirate Party with 8.5%. The Mayors and Independents (STAN) would receive 8%, while the TOP 09 would get 5%.
The poll suggests that the Social Democrats and the Christian Democrats would not enter parliament, both with 4% of the vote. The Communist Party of Bohemia and Moravia (KSČM) and Trikolory would receive 3% of the vote, while the Greens and Oath would each receive 2%. The agency notes that it is unclear whether TOP 09, KDU-ČSL and ČSSD would enter parliament due to the possible statistical margin of error.
ANO has risen since last summer, with an expected share of under 30% in the polls. Since the February survey, ANO’s support has risen by 2.5 percentage points, with a slight increase also noted for ODS, SPD, and STAN. On the other hand, the Pirates have seen a decrease in support. According to Median, ANO’s electoral potential is at the same level as its model preferences.
The poll suggests 63.5% of eligible voters would participate in the elections. Almost half of the respondents stated that they will vote and know which party they will support, while over a third are still undecided. The poll was conducted from March 2 to April 3 and involved 1,006 respondents.