Meteorologists’ Forecast: A Period of Above-Average Temperatures Expected

Meteorologists in the Czech Republic predict a period of above-average temperatures lasting until mid-February, interspersed with brief incursions of cooler air. This long-term forecast was provided by the Czech Hydrometeorological Institute (ČHMÚ).

The forecast pertains to four weeks from January 22 to February 18. “After the alternating weather of the first two decades of January, the weather is returning to the trend of a longer period of above-average temperatures, likely to continue throughout the forecast period. Invasions of cooler, possibly cold air, will be only temporary and short-lived,” states the ČHMÚ.

Meteorologists are looking forward to a slightly to moderately above-average period until the end of the first decade of February. The highest temperatures are expected at the end of January, with highs most often around six °C and lows averaging around 0°C or slightly below freezing. However, temperatures can fluctuate daily. For instance, the warmest day of the current week is expected to be Wednesday, when temperatures will rise above 10 degrees.

The similar temperature pattern will continue into the fourth forecast week; however, from the perspective of long-term statistics, this period will more closely resemble the long-term climatological normal. In particular, the minimum temperatures will be lower on average than in the previous period. They can fall just slightly below freezing for an extended period, while the highs will still most often be around five °C,” the meteorologists wrote.

From a precipitation point of view, the period as a whole should be standard. Meteorologists expect the period around the month’s turn to be most noticeable regarding precipitation, but it should not be about any extremes.

The monthly outlook expresses the weather’s overall character and does not capture all possible fluctuations, warns the ČHMÚ. The success of the outlook is around 75 percent for temperatures and about 65 percent for precipitation. The forecast for the third and fourth weeks often approaches the long-term climatic values for the respective periods.